The State Health Department has been very good about putting out updated statistics on our Covid infections, with excellent graphics. But I suspect few people bother to work through the charts and graphs posted online.

Most people I talk to wonder about the riskiest age group, or what island districts seem to have the most cases. They do know the bars and most schools are closed.

So I thought I’d set it all out today, simplified, in this Tuesday Special Report.

There have been 23,627 (plus yesterday and today) cases of COVID-19 identified in the state. Of those, 7% required hospitalization, and 22,046 (93%) were residents. Averaging about 190 cases per day now, about 140 of those on Oahu, where 3.3% of those tested were positive. Kauai continues to do best, averaging just 2 new cases a day and a 1.8% positive test rate. Obviously, it’s doing some right to bat down the virus.

Vaccination goes slow. About 26,000 so far, about 18,000 of those on Oahu. I’m still waiting in category 1B (old) but I’m hearing about friends/acquaintances much younger than me getting vaccinated at Castle Memorial already. Kaiser just says “soon.”

What areas of what islands produce the most cases? Red’s the worst.  The gray means areas of less than 1,000 population.

You’re most like to be curious what your risk currently is by age group. Here’s that breakdown in one easy graphic: I suspect elderly people are more careful about social distancing and mask wearing

And now about ethnicity or race. No surprises here. The poor and the immigrant population are among the the highest percentages and alarmingly so when you compares cases against percentages of the affected population.

I hope this help you understand the direction our part of the pandemic is going. It’s not encouraging, especially for Oahu.

Let’s hope we get more people vaccinated quickly, that the immunity lasts, and the vaccine will combat the new strains of Covid 19. China had its infection rate under control, but in just the past month, Covid took off there again.

I’m hoping that won’t be our fate.


Published by Bob Jones

Journalist since age 19. St. Petersburg Times, Noticias y Viajes in Madrid, Overseas Weekly in Frankfurt and Paris, the Louisville Courier- Journal, the Honolulu Advertiser, KGMB-TV, NBC News foreign correspondent in Africa and Southeast Asia, and MidWeek columnist. LL.B LaSalle University Law. 3 years in the U.S. Air Force. Covered: Biafran War in Nigeria (1968) Vietnam War (1969-73), Iraq in 1991. George Foster Peabody Award for distinguished journalism for reporting in China. 2 Emmys for documentaries. Married to journalist Denby Fawcett; one daughter. Brett Jones, foreign service officer, State Department.

2 replies on “Special Report: Covid. Where? Who? Riskiest Groups?”

  1. Hope is a great thing. the meantime, WE ALL need to BE SMARTER. Wear a mask, wash hands regularly, keep social distancing, get tested regularly, and most important, lose the arrogance that it cannot happen to me. One of the biggest dangers is asymptomatic cases. The best research now shows asymptomatic cases (“carriers” with NO symptoms) can be as high as 60%. If we do a better job following the rules, we can knock down the cases..and that, as shown in so many other places, is the TRUTH. Oh, and STAY AWAY from those Hotels and restaurants which are stocking up on visitors from California and other super-contaminated states.

  2. That risk by age group graph can be misleading.

    I suggest, first of all, clicking the ‘outcomes’ link when you look at that table on the state dashboard. That makes clear that the risk of hospitalization and death for those infected increases with age.

    The other data that’s missing from that graph is population by age group. From what I can tell, that graph is based on total cases, not normalized as a percentage of population. So we don’t know the infection rate for the age groups.

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