I’m with those such as my friend Vera, who’s very nervous about letting 10,000+ people a day into the state under the new pre-test-or-quarantine rules. But I know people need jobs, businesses need revenue, the state and the city need tax money and our Constitution (Article IV and the 14th Amendment) doesn’t allow any state to close its borders.
Still, we need to see how secondary testing of the pre-testers and adherence to the terms of quarantine work out. The latter sure did not work well. It was an invitation to cheat.
As visitors pour in there will be pressure to reopen the bars and nightclubs, which I consider to be Infection Centrals because they are not made for the social distancing kind of patrons. Masks will quickly come off, too.
I don’t know how Australia keeps its economy alive, but it is very strict and does not have a constitutional travel-right to hamper it. So it’s not letting people out or in, except in very limited situations. Not even the 20,000 or so citizens who were trapped outside when the no-come-back hit. My daughter’s a diplomat, so they are allowing her back in after her visit here. But a non-quarantined resident has to pick her up at the Sydney airport and drive her the 3 hours to Canberra. She’s not permitted to use public transportation and she goes into immediate 14-day quarantine when she’s back in Canberra.
New Zealand’s a toughie, too. Geography has helped. If any place could be described as socially distant it would be New Zealand, surrounded by ocean and with onlyAntarctica nearby. It only has 5 million people. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern put the country under a strict lockdown in late March, when only about 100 people had tested positive for the virus. Her motto: “Go hard and go early.”
New Zealand has so far avoided a widespread outbreak, and new cases have dwindled from a peak of about 90 per day in early April to just five yesterday. Only 13 people have died so far.
We currently are averaging fewer than 100 cases per day and edging close to Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell’s terms for us to go to Tier 2, which allows more re-openings. I worry because when several European countries did the same, the virus came roaring back. Do you re-close again? People tend to get fed up with the restrictions and eventually rebel as in Michigan and some other states. Minimally, they stop wearing masks and avoiding groups. They say “to hell with this.”
So letting more people in and re-opening more businesses and recreation spots comes with some serious risk.
So does keeping everything closed and large numbers of people unemployed.
What’s the right call, and is it being based 100% on the science, or more like 50% that and 50% pressure to re-start the economy?
I tend to lean 100% science. But I’m basically retired, my wife and I have income and savings, no mortgage and very moderate expenses. So it’s easy for me to choose a side.
That’s why I ask: what’s the right call?